Coronavirus trendline, 2.5.21: New case numbers continue to plummet

Idaho’s coronavirus metrics continued to improve this week, with new case numbers falling to their lowest rate in more than four months.

As of Friday afternoon, the state and its seven health districts reported 165,030 confirmed or probable coronavirus cases, a 1.6 percent increase from last week.

The state recorded 2,575 new cases — with that number falling below the 3,000 mark for the first time since late September.

Other metrics were encouraging as well. New hospital and ICU admissions and deaths were all down from last week — and these tend to be lagging indicators, reflecting new case activity from several weeks earlier.

And while Idaho’s COVID vaccination rollout has been uneven, the vaccination numbers also increased in the past week.

In other coronavirus news from the week:

Back to Stage 3. Citing the decrease in case numbers and decreased stress on the state’s hospitals, Gov. Brad Little moved Idaho back from Stage 2 of its coronavirus reopening plan to the less restrictive Stage 3. The shift won’t affect attendance caps on school sporting events, and it won’t affect locally adopted school reopening plans.

A partisan divide on reopening. Republicans and parents are more likely to support full-time, in-person K-12 instruction, while Democrats are more likely to support online instruction, according to Boise State University’s sixth annual Idaho Public Policy Survey. According to the survey, parents of K-12 students generally give their local schools favorable grades.

A flood of federal money. The new federal coronavirus stimulus law will yield more than a quarter billion dollars for Idaho schools. The money will help K-12 schools address learning gaps, and provide some direct help for college students. But the one-time money poses a challenge for school leaders and legislators alike.

Here are this week’s numbers, and comparisons with the previous week:

Statewide data Jan. 29 Feb. 5 Change, Jan. 23-29 Change, Jan. 30-Feb. 5
Cases, confirmed and probable 162,455 165,030 3,499 2,575
Total cases, ages 0-4 2,381 2,427 55 46
Total cases, ages 5-12 5,802 5,962 206 160
Total cases, ages 13-17 9,100 9,266 259 166
Total cases, ages 18-29 40,516 41,143 820 627
Deaths 1,725 1,758 58 33
Patients ever hospitalized 6,659 6,785 195 126
Patients ever admitted to ICU 1,165 1,184 38 19
Patients recovered, estimated 81,034 85,439 5,993 4,405
Total tests administered 987,111 1,011,836 32,453 24,725
Health care workers infected 8,774 9,029 356 255
Idahoans vaccinated 94,071 134,367 25,444 40,296
Idahoans fully vaccinated (two doses) 20,301 32,079 6,569 11,778
Vaccine doses administered 114,372 166,466 31,897 52,094

Weekly positive test rate, as reported by the state: 7.0 percent for week ending Jan. 30, down from 8.0 percent the previous week.

Top 10 counties, by total cases Jan. 29 Feb. 5 New cases, Jan. 30-Feb. 5 New cases per day, per 100,000 population
Ada 44,369 45,087 718 21.3
Canyon 23,709 24,031 322 20.0
Kootenai 15,679 15,969 290 25.0
Bonneville 11,451 11,580 129 15.5
Twin Falls 8,736 8,817 81 13.3
   
Bannock 7,342 7,452 110 17.9
Madison 5,852 5,981 129 46.4
Bingham 4,054 4,095 41 12.5
Nez Perce 3,289 3,310 21 7.4
Bonner 2,669 2,805 136 42.5
   
Ten hotspot counties (most daily cases, per 100,000 population) Jan. 29 Feb. 5 New cases, Jan. 30-Feb. 5 New cases per day, per 100,000 population
Blaine 1,937 2,030 93 57.7
Teton 991 1,037 46 54.1
Madison 5,852 5,981 129 46.4
Valley 734 768 34 42.6
Bonner 2,669 2,805 136 42.5
Power 605 620 15 27.9
Camas 65 67 2 25.8
Kootenai 15,679 15,969 290 25.0
Adams 310 317 7 23.3
Cassia 2,759 2,797 38 22.6

 

Kevin Richert

Kevin Richert

Senior reporter and blogger Kevin Richert specializes in education politics and education policy. He has more than 30 years of experience in Idaho journalism. He is a frequent guest on "Idaho Reports" on Idaho Public Television and "Idaho Matters" on Boise State Public Radio. Follow Kevin on Twitter: @KevinRichert. He can be reached at [email protected]

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